Fa'avae i luga o le tu'ufa'atasiga o fa'amatalaga o fa'amatalaga a le malo, va'aiga va'alele, ma fa'avae mana'oga o lo'o fa'agasolo malie le toe fa'aleleia o le malosi o le ea i totonu o Ausetalia e o'o atu i le vaega o totoe o le 2020. I le ausiaina o le 37% o le voluma o le tausaga talu ai i le amataga o Iulai, na maua ai e le Palemia Scott Morrison. na fa'ailoa mai ai le toe fo'i atu i femalagaiga i totonu o le setete i lalo o le fuafuaga a le Malo Feterale e tolu-vaega e fa'amalieina tapula'a. O le fuafuaga, ua mamanuina e toe faʻaleleia ai le tamaoaiga o le atunuʻu, e tuʻu ai le taimi mo le toe faʻatulagaina o femalagaaiga i setete. O lo'o fuafua le CAPA e o'o atu i le 49% o le 2019 tulaga i aso malolo a'oga o Oketopa ma le 60% i le ogatotonu o Tesema 2020.

O le 'Airline Capacity Model' fou a le APA ua atiaʻe e tuʻuina atu ai le vaʻalele ma pisinisi femalagaaʻi ma se taʻiala malosi i avanoa i le lumanaʻi o le ea e taula i:

Fa'amaumauga moni o le gafatia, maua mai fa'asologa o le OAG ma fa'amaumauga o fa'atonuga o va'alele i le CAPA Fleet database;
Fa'ai'uga ma fa'asalalauga a le Palemia ma Palemia o le Malo i tapula'a o femalagaiga ma fa'asalalauga tuaoi;
Su'esu'ega a le CAPA, e fa'avae i luga o lipoti o taimi moni ma tala fa'apitoa i aso ta'itasi e aoina mai ai le silia ma le 300 tala i aso uma:
- Fuafuaga ala vaalele ma tau;
- Le naunau ma le naunau o tagata lautele e felelei;
- Le fa'aofiina o ta'iala masani i tulaga tumama i luga o va'alele ma malae va'alele;
- 'Sa'o le lapopo'a o va'alele e fetaui ma le mana'oga.
E fa'afou le va'aiga o le va'alele i le taimi moni, a'o tutupu mea fou tetele.

O le toe foi mai o sapalai i le tolu masina a sau a o faaosoosoina e kamupani vaalele pasese e toe foi i luga o le ea i tau maualalo ae o loo faamamafaina le faaleleia o le soifua maloloina ma le saogalemu. A'o toe fa'aleleia le mana'oga, sapalai (gafatia ma feso'ota'iga ala) o le a fetu'una'i ina ia fa'amalieina fua ma toe fa'aleleia atili le maketi. O le a mata'ituina e le CAPA fa'afouga o alamanuia ma fa'afou pea le Fa'ata'ita'iga.

Na saunoa le Taitaifono Emeritus, Peter Harbison:

“O Ausetalia o se tasi o atunuu sili ona lelei tulaga i le lalolagi atoa e taofiofia le galu muamua o le COVID-19 faʻamaʻi. Afai e faʻaauau pea ma tatou aloese mai le faʻamaʻi lona lua, e mafai e le maketi o le ea a Ausetalia ona vaʻaia ni faʻailoga o le olaga i le ogatotonu o le tausaga ma le faʻaleleia atili i le Kerisimasi. Ae ui i lea, matou te le o faʻamoemoe e toe oʻo i le 2019 tulaga o vaalele i totonu o le atunuʻu i lenei tausaga. Fa'ava-o-malo o le a sili atu ona lavea ma e ono tele tausaga e toe faʻaleleia. Ae ui i lea, o lenei mea o le a manuia ai le maketi i totonu o le atunuʻu - e ono mafai foʻi ona faʻaogaina galuega a Trans Tasman".

O maketi fa'avaomalo e foliga mai e le mafai ona toe fa'aleleia ma o le CAPA Airline Capacity Model o lo'o va'aia le malosi o le ea faavaomalo (numera nofoa) o lo'o pa'ū pea i le 92% i lea tausaga ma lea tausaga ia Iulai, -86% ia Oketopa, ma -85% ia Tesema. O le 'bubble' o le Trans Tasman ma Niu Sila ua fa'amauina i le CAPA Model mai Aukuso, ma nisi o atumotu o le Pasefika e feso'ota'i i le taimi mo aso malolo o le Kirisimasi/Tausaga Fou.

O lo'o fa'aogaina e le Fa'ata'ita'iga fa'ata'ita'iga fa'agasologa o le toe fa'aleleia o le ea. O se faʻataʻitaʻiga faʻafesoʻotaʻi, faʻavae sili e mafai ai e tagata faʻaoga ona vaʻavaʻai i manatu e uiga i le toe amataina o femalagaaiga i totonu o le atunuʻu (setete-faʻavae) ma maketi faavaomalo, e fausia ai le ata atoa gafatia.

Fa'atonuga fa'asolosolo fa'asolosolo gafatia

Vaega	igoa	Malosiaga (% o 'Magoa' = 2019)	Fa'amatalaga/Talosaga
1	Zero/Ele	0%	Fa'asa o femalagaiga e mafua ai ona fa'apalapala uma va'a va'alele
2	auivi	5%	O lo'o tu'uina atu e kamupani va'alele se 'auivi' feso'ota'iga fa'avae pe i lona lava faitalia po'o lalo o nisi ituaiga fesoasoani a le malo/setete, fa'ata'ita'iga mo: Malaga fa'afuase'i Toe fa'afo'i tagata mai fafo
3	Toe amatalia Faapisinisi A – 'Tagata Fa'asa'o'	25%	O lo'o toe fa'aauau galuega fa'apisinisi 'Acutely Restricted' a le kamupani va'alele, e fa'ata'ita'iga mo: Malaga fa'apisinisi fa'amisiona VFR ogaoga
4	Toe amatalia pisinisi B – 'Amata'	50%	O lo'o fa'agaoioia e kamupani va'alele galuega fa'apisinisi 'Basic', e fa'ata'ita'iga mo: Le faʻatupuina o femalagaaiga Pisinisi Fa'aosofia VFR/Malaga a tamaiti aoga Femalagaiga Fa'afiafiaga maualuga
5	Toe amatalia pisinisi C – 'Fa'asa'o'	75%	O lo'o fa'agaoioia e kamupani va'alele 'Fa'asa'oga fa'apisinisi, e fa'ata'ita'iga mo: Fa'ateleina Femalagaiga Pisinisi Fa'ateleina VFR/Malaga a tamaiti aoga Femalagaiga Fa'afiafiaga
6	Fa'aauauina pisinisi D – 'Tulaga Fa'ata'atia'	100%	O lo'o fa'agaoioia e kamupani va'alele 'Standard' po'o fa'agaioiga fa'apisinisi masani, e fa'ata'ita'iga mo fa'atonuga: Malaga Pisinisi masani VFR/Malaga a tamaiti aoga Malologa tafaoga

OA MEA E AVEA MAI LENEI TUSI:

It is an interactive, excel-based model that allows users to then view the assumptions around the resumption of travel in domestic (state-based) and international markets, to build the overall capacity picture.
International markets are unlikely to recover and the CAPA Airline Capacity Model sees international air capacity (seat numbers) still down by 92% year-on-year in July, -86% in October, and -85% in December.
Based on a combination of analysis of government statements, airline projections, and underlying demand projects a slow, phased recovery in domestic air capacity in Australia through the remainder of 2020.